AI Agent Productivity Statistics 2026: Studies and ROI Data
AI agent productivity statistics for 2026 from controlled trials, Fed and Census data, executive ROI surveys and company filings, each with its source and date.
Support issues resolved per hour with an AI assistant (NBER field study)
Task time for experienced developers allowed AI tools (METR trial, 2025)
Share of all US work hours workers said AI saved, Q2 2026 (St. Louis Fed survey)
CEOs seeing neither revenue nor cost gains from AI (PwC)
Key Takeaways
How much do AI agents and assistants actually raise productivity, and how quickly do they pay back? The honest answer in 2026 is: measurably on specific tasks, modestly across the economy so far, and slowly in company accounts. Much of what circulates as AI agent ROI data is less reliable than it looks, including median payback periods, cost-per-task ratios and department multipliers credited to research firms that never published them.
This page collects figures that can be traced to their source: randomized and field studies, the St. Louis Fed’s and Census Bureau’s national data, executive surveys from Deloitte, IBM, PwC, McKinsey, BCG, KPMG and Gartner with their samples stated, AI labs’ own research, and company filings from Klarna, Salesforce and Microsoft. Every row names its population, period and source. Where the evidence does not exist, such as payback by department, the page says so rather than filling the gap.
How to read this page: “Randomized trial” compares workers randomly given an AI tool with a control group. “Field study” measures a real rollout without full randomization. “Administrative data study” uses payroll or government records. “Official statistics” come from a national statistics agency, and “Survey (nationally representative)” from a survey weighted to the population. “Survey (executives)”, “Survey (organisations)”, “Survey (workers)” and “Survey (developers)” are self-reported answers from the group named, and “Vendor survey” is run by a company that sells the product. “Official (company-reported)” is a company’s own figure from a filing or results release. “Measured (platform usage data)” comes from an AI lab’s usage logs, and “Benchmark (research evaluation)” from a published test of AI systems. “Estimate (research model)” and “Estimate (research firm)” are modelled figures, “Research review” summarises other studies, and “Forecast” names its target year. Every source is listed once in the Sources section at the end.
Headline Productivity Numbers
The strongest evidence on AI productivity comes from experiments that compare workers with and without the tool. They agree that gains are real on well-defined tasks, larger for less experienced workers and uneven across tasks. Customer-support agents resolved 14% more issues per hour, software developers completed 26.08% more tasks, consultants finished tasks 25.1% more quickly and professionals took 40% less time on writing tasks. One trial points the other way: experienced open-source developers took 19% longer with early-2025 AI tools.
National data puts those task-level results in proportion. US workers who used generative AI said it saved them 5.4% of their work hours in late 2024, and across all workers, users and non-users together, the time workers reported saving came to 2.2% of work hours in Q2 2026. In Denmark, two years after ChatGPT’s launch, researchers could rule out any effect on earnings or recorded hours larger than 2%.
| Figure | What it measures | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 14% | Increase in customer-support issues resolved per hour after agents got a generative AI assistant, measured across 5,179 support agents at one company (34% for novice and low-skilled agents; minimal effect for the most experienced and skilled) | Brynjolfsson, Li and Raymond (NBER), Apr 2023, revised Nov 2023Field study |
| 26.08% | Increase in completed tasks among software developers given an AI coding assistant (GitHub Copilot), pooled across randomized trials at Microsoft, Accenture and a Fortune 100 company covering 4,867 developers (standard error 10.3%; less experienced developers gained more) | Cui et al. (Microsoft Research), Jun 2025Randomized trial |
| 25.1% | Faster completion of 18 realistic consulting tasks inside the AI “frontier” by Boston Consulting Group consultants given GPT-4, preregistered experiment with 758 knowledge workers (they also completed 12.2% more tasks, at significantly higher quality) | Dell’Acqua et al. (Harvard Business School), Sep 2023Randomized trial |
| 40% | Reduction in average time taken on occupation-specific writing tasks by 453 college-educated professionals randomly given ChatGPT (output quality rose 18%) | Noy and Zhang (Science), Jul 13, 2023Randomized trial |
| +19% | Change in task completion time when 16 experienced open-source developers were allowed to use early-2025 AI tools, across 246 tasks in mature projects they knew well (AI made them slower) | METR (arXiv), Jul 12, 2025Randomized trial |
| 5.4% | Share of work hours saved by US workers who used generative AI, self-reported in a nationally representative survey, November 2024 (2.2 hours for someone working 40 hours a week; the authors later revised their 2024 survey results for a change in question order) | St. Louis Fed, Feb 27, 2025Survey (nationally representative) |
| 2.2% | Share of all US work hours saved thanks to AI assistance in Q2 2026, counting users and non-users, self-reported in the Real-Time Population Survey of adults aged 18 to 64 (1.6% in Q3 2024) | St. Louis Fed (FRED Blog), Aug 27, 2026Survey (nationally representative) |
| ≤2% | Largest effect on earnings or recorded hours that Danish administrative records allow two years after ChatGPT’s launch, worker and workplace level; the study estimates “precise null effects” even though workers report productivity benefits | Humlum and Vestergaard (NBER), May 2025, revised Mar 2026Administrative data study |
Time Saved by Function: Controlled Studies
No public dataset reports hours saved by department across many companies. What exists are studies of specific kinds of work, and they measure different things: tasks completed, time on a task, or time on email. Read each row as the result for that task and population, not as a department-wide rate.
Software development has the most trials, and the spread is wide. A 2023 GitHub Copilot experiment found a 55.8% faster completion of one programming task; Google’s internal trial found about 21% less time on a complex enterprise task, with a large confidence interval; the pooled Microsoft, Accenture and Fortune 100 trials found 26.08% more completed tasks. For office work, a field experiment across 66 firms found users of an AI tool built into their email and writing apps spent two fewer hours a week on email, with no detectable change in the quantity or composition of their tasks.
| Figure | What it measures | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 55.8% | Faster completion of a programming task (implementing an HTTP server in JavaScript) by recruited software developers given GitHub Copilot, compared with a control group, controlled experiment | Peng et al. (arXiv), Feb 13, 2023Randomized trial |
| ~21% | Reduction in time spent on a complex, enterprise-grade coding task by 96 full-time Google software engineers given AI features, randomized trial (the authors note a large confidence interval) | Paradis et al. (arXiv), Oct 16, 2024Randomized trial |
| 2 hours | Fewer hours a week spent on email by knowledge workers who used a generative AI tool built into their email, meeting and writing apps, among the 80% of treated workers who used it, field experiment across 66 firms and 7,137 workers (no detectable shift in the quantity or composition of tasks) | Dillon et al. (NBER), May 2025, revised Nov 2025Randomized trial |
| 2.5% | Share of work time saved by US workers in computer and mathematical occupations, who used generative AI in nearly 12% of their work hours, nationally representative survey | St. Louis Fed, Feb 27, 2025Survey (nationally representative) |
| 0.4% | Share of work time saved by US workers in personal service occupations, who used generative AI in 1.3% of their work hours, nationally representative survey | St. Louis Fed, Feb 27, 2025Survey (nationally representative) |
| 20.5% | Share of US generative AI users who said it saved them four hours or more in the previous week (33.0% said an hour or less), nationally representative survey | St. Louis Fed, Feb 27, 2025Survey (nationally representative) |
| Up to 83% | Less time spent writing notes reported by physicians using AI documentation tools, as summarised in Stanford HAI’s 2026 AI Index takeaways | Stanford HAI, Apr 13, 2026Research review |
| 5% to 25%+ | Range of average productivity gains in experimental studies of generative AI among customer-support, software-development and consulting workers, according to the OECD’s review of experimental evidence | OECD, Jul 8, 2025Research review |
| ~80% | Estimated reduction in task time from using Claude, across 100,000 sampled Claude.ai conversations whose tasks would take about 90 minutes without AI; estimated by Anthropic’s model, and it cannot count time people spend outside the conversation | Anthropic, Nov 25, 2025Estimate (research model) |
Occupation matters too. In the St. Louis Fed’s survey, workers in computer and mathematical occupations saved 2.5% of their work time against 0.4% in personal service occupations, and only about one user in five said AI saved them four hours or more in a week. For a method that turns these effects into a business case, see our guide to AI agent ROI measurement beyond task completion.
What Workers and Developers Report
Surveys ask people whether AI has helped, and most say it has: 80% of McKinsey’s 2026 respondents report better individual productivity, as do 65% of US employees in organisations implementing AI (Gallup) and more than 80% of the technology professionals in Google’s DORA research. These are perceptions, and the METR trial shows how far perception can drift from measurement: its developers believed AI had cut their completion time by 20% when it had raised it by 19%.
Self-reported time savings also vary with who is asked. OpenAI’s survey of its enterprise users gives 40 to 60 minutes a day, while in Gartner’s surveys 19% of employees reported no time saved at all (2026) and 7% said AI had cost them time (2025). Developer surveys disagree too: 52% of Stack Overflow’s 2025 respondents said AI tools or agents had a positive effect on their productivity, well below the share in Google’s DORA research.
| Figure | What it measures | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 80% | Share of respondents saying AI has improved individual productivity, McKinsey global online survey of 1,719 participants at all levels, May 4–June 8, 2026 | McKinsey, Aug 2026Survey (organisations) |
| 65% | Share of US employees in organisations implementing AI who say AI has improved their productivity and efficiency, whether or not they use it often, Gallup Q1 2026 workforce survey (fielded Feb 4–19, 2026) | Gallup, Apr 12, 2026Survey (workers) |
| 50% | Share of employed US adults who use AI in their role at least a few times a year, Gallup Q1 2026 (46% the previous quarter; 13% use it daily and 28% a few times a week or more) | Gallup, Apr 12, 2026Survey (workers) |
| 39.2% | Share of employed US adults aged 18 to 64 who used generative AI for work in the past week, Q2 2026 (28.2% in Q3 2024), Real-Time Population Survey | St. Louis Fed (FRED Blog), Aug 27, 2026Survey (nationally representative) |
| 19% | Share of employees who reported no time saved with AI, Gartner Global Labor Market Survey of 12,004 employees and managers in 40 countries, Q1 2026 | Gartner, May 13, 2026Survey (workers) |
| 1.5 hours a day | Average time saved reported by employees in AI-relevant roles, Gartner survey of 2,986 employees, July 2025 (62% of all respondents said AI had saved them time) | Gartner, Oct 28, 2025Survey (workers) |
| 7% | Share of employees reporting that AI has actually cost them time, Gartner employee research published October 2025 | Gartner, Oct 28, 2025Survey (workers) |
| 45% | Share of managers who say AI has improved their teams’ work as much as they expected, Gartner HR survey published March 2026 | Gartner, Mar 4, 2026Survey (workers) |
| 40–60 min a day | Time saved per day reported by workers in OpenAI’s survey of 9,000 workers across almost 100 enterprises using its products (heavy users report more than 10 hours a week) | OpenAI, 2025 report, read Oct 21, 2026Vendor survey |
| 75% | Share of workers in OpenAI’s survey of 9,000 enterprise workers who say AI improved the speed or quality of their output | OpenAI, 2025 report, read Oct 21, 2026Vendor survey |
| 52% | Share of developers agreeing that AI tools or AI agents have had a positive effect on their productivity, Stack Overflow 2025 Developer Survey | Stack Overflow, 2025 survey, read Oct 21, 2026Survey (developers) |
| ~70% | Share of developers using AI agents who agree agents have reduced time spent on specific development tasks, Stack Overflow 2025 Developer Survey (69% say agents increased productivity; 17% say they improved team collaboration) | Stack Overflow, 2025 survey, read Oct 21, 2026Survey (developers) |
| 80%+ | Share of nearly 5,000 technology professionals who believe AI has increased their productivity, Google’s 2025 DORA State of AI-assisted Software Development report (90% use AI at work) | Google Cloud (DORA), Sep 23, 2025Survey (developers) |
Cost per Task: What Companies Disclose
Cost-per-task comparisons between an AI agent and a person are rarely published with their method, and none of the widely repeated per-ticket or per-review figures could be traced to a source. Company filings are the most reliable alternative, because they are made under securities law and state their basis. Klarna’s is the most detailed: its 2025 annual report on Form 20-F says its AI assistant handled 80% of customer service chats in 2025, does the work Klarna estimates at more than 700 full-time agents and delivered $39 million of cost savings in 2024.
The same filing shows what the savings look like in the accounts. Customer service and operations expenses fell from $240 million in 2023 to $203 million in 2024, then rose 2% in 2025 while transactions grew 25%. Klarna’s headcount fell from 4,352 to 2,831 over the same period, which it attributes to using AI to drive efficiency. These are one company’s results, measured on its own definitions, not a benchmark for other businesses.
| Figure | What it measures | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 80% | Share of Klarna’s customer service chats handled by its AI assistant in 2025, according to Klarna’s service chat logs (31 million conversations since the February 2024 launch) | Klarna Form 20-F, Feb 26, 2026Official (company-reported) |
| 700+ | Full-time customer service agents whose work Klarna estimates its AI assistant does, based on the average monthly reduction in chat and telephone conversations in 2024 | Klarna Form 20-F, Feb 26, 2026Official (company-reported) |
| $39M | Cost savings Klarna reports its AI assistant delivered in 2024 | Klarna Form 20-F, Feb 26, 2026Official (company-reported) |
| $40M | Profit improvement Klarna projected for 2024 from its AI assistant when it announced one month of results (2.3 million conversations, two-thirds of customer service chats) | Klarna, Feb 27, 2024Forecast |
| 2 vs 12 min | Average time to resolve a customer query at Klarna: AI assistant versus human agents, as of September 2024, from Klarna’s service chat logs | Klarna Form 20-F, Feb 26, 2026Official (company-reported) |
| $207M | Klarna customer service and operations expenses in 2025, up 2% on 2024 while volumes rose 32% and transactions 25% ($203 million in 2024; $240 million in 2023) | Klarna Form 20-F, Feb 26, 2026Official (company-reported) |
| $1.24M | Klarna average annual revenue per employee in 2025, up from about $344,000 in 2022; Klarna links the gain to AI adoption, fewer third-party suppliers and an AI coding copilot | Klarna Form 20-F, Feb 26, 2026Official (company-reported) |
| 2,831 | Klarna full-time employees at December 31, 2025 (3,422 a year earlier; 4,352 at end-2023), a reduction Klarna attributes to a strategic decision to cut headcount by leveraging AI | Klarna Form 20-F, Feb 26, 2026Official (company-reported) |
| $54 | Median professional labour cost of the tasks in 100,000 sampled Claude.ai conversations, estimated by Anthropic’s model | Anthropic, Nov 25, 2025Estimate (research model) |
For a first estimate of what an agent saves in your own operation, our AI agent ROI calculator for marketing operations sets out the inputs; the figures above are a reminder to count review time and running costs, not only the minutes an agent saves.
Pilot to Production and Time to Value
No public study measures time to first value for vendor agents against custom builds. What surveys do measure is how far pilots get. In Deloitte’s survey of 3,235 leaders, 25% had moved 40% or more of their AI pilots into production; IBM’s CEOs said 16% of AI initiatives had scaled enterprise-wide. Agent adoption is rising quickly among large companies: in KPMG’s Q3 2026 pulse of 314 leaders at US companies with $1 billion or more in revenue, 62% said their organisations were building, deploying or developing agents, and 25% were working on multi-agent systems, up from 6%.
Official statistics show a much lower base across the whole economy. The Census Bureau’s survey for November 2025 to January 2026 found 18% of US firms using AI in a business function, and most of those used it in three or fewer functions. Larger firms adopt first: 37% of firms with at least 250 employees used AI. For adoption detail by function and company size, see our AI agent adoption evidence for 2026.
| Figure | What it measures | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 25% | Share of business and IT leaders whose organisations have moved 40% or more of their AI pilots into production, Deloitte survey of 3,235 leaders in 24 countries, Aug–Sep 2025 (54% expect to reach that level within three to six months) | Deloitte, Jan 21, 2026Survey (executives) |
| 21% | Share of companies planning to deploy agentic AI that report a mature model for agent governance, Deloitte survey of 3,235 business and IT leaders, Aug–Sep 2025 | Deloitte, Jan 21, 2026Survey (executives) |
| 16% | Share of AI initiatives that have scaled enterprise-wide, according to 2,000 CEOs in 33 countries surveyed by the IBM Institute for Business Value, Feb–Apr 2025 | IBM, May 6, 2025Survey (executives) |
| 62% | Share of US leaders at companies with $1 billion or more in revenue whose organisations are building, deploying or developing AI agents, KPMG survey of 314 leaders, Jul 24–Aug 25, 2026 (53% a quarter earlier) | KPMG, Sep 24, 2026Survey (executives) |
| 25% | Share of US leaders at $1 billion-plus companies actively developing or implementing multi-agent systems, KPMG survey of 314 leaders, Q3 2026 (6% in each of the two previous quarters) | KPMG, Sep 24, 2026Survey (executives) |
| 44% | Share of US leaders at $1 billion-plus companies reporting significant workforce adoption of AI, KPMG survey of 314 leaders, Q3 2026 (23% a quarter earlier; 10% a year earlier) | KPMG, Sep 24, 2026Survey (executives) |
| 40% | Share of respondents at organisations with more than $1 billion in annual revenue reporting that they are scaling AI agents, McKinsey survey, May–June 2026 (27% in 2025; 22% at smaller organisations) | McKinsey, Aug 2026Survey (organisations) |
| 18% | Share of US firms using AI in a business function, Census Bureau Business Trends and Outlook Survey AI supplement, Nov 2025–Jan 2026 (32% employment-weighted; 22% expected within six months) | US Census Bureau, Apr 15, 2026Official statistics |
| 57% | Share of AI-using US firms that integrate AI in three or fewer business functions, Census Bureau survey, Nov 2025–Jan 2026 (most common: sales and marketing 52%, strategy and business development 45%, IT 41%) | US Census Bureau, Apr 15, 2026Official statistics |
| 37% | Share of US firms with at least 250 employees using AI in business operations, Census Bureau survey, December 2025 to May 2026 (all firms: 17% to 20%; 19.8% as of May 3, 2026) | US Census Bureau, May 26, 2026Official statistics |
ROI and Payback: What Executive Surveys Report
Payback is where the evidence is thinnest and most often invented. No public dataset gives median payback by department or use case. The best available figures are executives’ own answers, and they describe years rather than months: most of the 1,854 executives in Europe and the Middle East in Deloitte’s 2025 survey said a typical AI use case reaches satisfactory ROI in two to four years, against a typical payback of seven to 12 months expected for technology investments. Only 6% reported payback within a year.
Agentic AI is further behind. Among Deloitte’s respondents already using agentic AI, 10% said they were realising significant ROI from it, compared with 15% of generative AI users reporting significant, measurable ROI. Broader surveys point the same way: 56% of CEOs in PwC’s survey had seen neither higher revenue nor lower costs from AI, IBM’s CEOs said 25% of AI initiatives had delivered the expected ROI, and 37% of McKinsey’s 2026 respondents attribute any EBIT impact to AI.
| Figure | What it measures | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2–4 years | Time most executives said a typical AI use case takes to reach satisfactory ROI, Deloitte survey of 1,854 executives in Europe and the Middle East, Aug 15–Sep 5, 2025 (typical technology payback expectation: 7–12 months) | Deloitte, Oct 22, 2025Survey (executives) |
| 6% | Share of executives reporting payback on AI in under a year, Deloitte survey of 1,854 executives, Aug–Sep 2025 (13% even among the most successful projects) | Deloitte, Oct 22, 2025Survey (executives) |
| 10% | Share of organisations already using agentic AI (57% of respondents) that say they are realising significant ROI from it, Deloitte survey of 1,854 executives, Aug–Sep 2025 (half of them expect returns within three years; a third expect three to five years) | Deloitte, Oct 22, 2025Survey (executives) |
| 15% | Share of generative AI users whose organisations already achieve significant, measurable ROI, Deloitte survey of 1,854 executives, Aug–Sep 2025 (38% expect it within one year of investing) | Deloitte, Oct 22, 2025Survey (executives) |
| 25% | Share of AI initiatives that delivered expected ROI over the last few years, according to 2,000 CEOs surveyed by IBM, Feb–Apr 2025 (85% expect positive ROI from scaled efficiency and cost-saving investments by 2027) | IBM, May 6, 2025Survey (executives) |
| 56% | Share of CEOs whose companies have seen neither higher revenues nor lower costs from AI in the last 12 months, PwC survey of 4,454 CEOs in 95 countries and territories (30% report more revenue, 26% lower costs, 12% both) | PwC, Jan 2026Survey (executives) |
| 37% | Share of respondents whose organisations attribute any EBIT impact to AI, McKinsey survey of 1,719 participants, May–June 2026 (about unchanged on 2025) | McKinsey, Aug 2026Survey (organisations) |
| ~6% | Share of respondents at what McKinsey calls AI high performers (those attributing at least 5% of EBIT to AI and calling its impact significant), McKinsey survey of 1,719 participants, May–June 2026 (flat on 2025) | McKinsey, Aug 2026Survey (organisations) |
| 5% | Share of companies achieving AI value at scale (“future-built”), BCG survey of 1,250 senior executives and AI decision makers, 2025 (60% of companies, the laggards, report minimal revenue and cost gains) | BCG, Sep 30, 2025Survey (executives) |
| 7.5% | Share of companies BCG classifies as “future-built” for AI in 2026, BCG survey of 1,330 CxOs and senior leaders (a further 41% are actively scaling AI) | BCG, Sep 30, 2026Survey (executives) |
| 2.3x | Total shareholder return of BCG’s future-built companies relative to AI laggards, BCG survey of 1,330 executives, 2026 (2.4x the revenue growth and 2.8x the EBITDA growth; an association, not proof that AI caused it) | BCG, Sep 30, 2026Survey (executives) |
| 3.3% | AI spending as a share of revenue at companies in BCG’s 2026 survey of 1,330 executives, up from about 1.7% in late 2025 | BCG, Sep 30, 2026Survey (executives) |
| ~6 in 10 | US leaders at $1 billion-plus companies reporting measurable business value from AI, KPMG survey of 314 leaders, Q3 2026 (productivity gains the most cited benefit, by 55%) | KPMG, Sep 24, 2026Survey (executives) |
| 88% | Share of HR leaders saying their organisations have not realised significant business value from AI tools, Gartner, October 2025 | Gartner, Oct 28, 2025Survey (executives) |
| ~80% | Share of $1 billion-plus organisations piloting or deploying AI agents or other autonomous technologies that report workforce reductions, Gartner survey of 350 executives, Q3 2025; reduction rates were nearly equal among respondents reporting higher ROI and those reporting modest or negative outcomes | Gartner, May 5, 2026Survey (executives) |
A minority of companies are pulling ahead. BCG classified 5% of companies as “future-built” for AI in 2025 and 7.5% in 2026, with another 41% actively scaling; its future-built group reported 2.3 times the shareholder return of laggards. That is an association between AI maturity and performance, not proof that AI produced the difference. Gartner adds a caution for anyone counting savings in headcount: among large organisations deploying autonomous technologies, workforce reduction rates were nearly the same for those reporting higher ROI and those reporting modest or negative results.
Vendor-Reported Agent Metrics
Vendors now publish usage metrics for their agents, and the ones in company filings are the most dependable. Salesforce reports Agentforce annual recurring revenue of more than $1.5 billion at the end of July 2026 and 7.0 billion Agentic Work Units, its count of tasks executed by agents in production, delivered to date. Both definitions are Salesforce’s own, and it widened the ARR definition in that quarter to include Slackbot and Headless 360, so the series is not like for like. Microsoft reports more than 30 million paid Microsoft 365 Copilot seats.
Usage data shows what businesses delegate. Anthropic’s September 2025 Economic Index found 77% of business uses of its API follow automation patterns rather than augmentation. None of these figures measures productivity or ROI directly: revenue, seats and task counts show adoption and spend. Gartner’s estimate that only about 130 of the thousands of vendors marketing agentic AI are real is a reminder to check what a product labelled “agent” actually does.
| Figure | What it measures | Source |
|---|---|---|
| $1.5B+ | Salesforce Agentforce annual recurring revenue at the end of fiscal Q2 2027 (quarter to July 31, 2026), up over 240% year on year; from that quarter the metric also counts Slackbot and Headless 360 | Salesforce 8-K, Aug 26, 2026Official (company-reported) |
| $800M | Salesforce Agentforce annual recurring revenue at the end of fiscal 2026 (January 31, 2026), up 169% year on year | Salesforce 8-K, Feb 25, 2026Official (company-reported) |
| 7.0B | Agentic Work Units (discrete tasks executed by AI agents in production, as Salesforce defines them) delivered to date across Agentforce and Slack, as of fiscal Q2 2027 (3.2 billion in that quarter, up 97% quarter on quarter) | Salesforce 8-K, Aug 26, 2026Official (company-reported) |
| $1.2B | Salesforce Agentforce annual recurring revenue at the end of fiscal Q1 2027 (April 30, 2026), up 205% year on year, with 3.8 billion Agentic Work Units delivered to date | Salesforce 8-K, May 27, 2026Official (company-reported) |
| 2.4B | Agentic Work Units delivered to date across Salesforce Agentforce and Slack when Salesforce introduced the metric, as of fiscal Q4 2026 | Salesforce 8-K, Feb 25, 2026Official (company-reported) |
| 29,000+ | Agentforce deals Salesforce had closed since launch, as of fiscal Q4 2026 (up 50% quarter on quarter) | Salesforce 8-K, Feb 25, 2026Official (company-reported) |
| 30M+ | Paid Microsoft 365 Copilot seats, fiscal year ended June 30, 2026 | Microsoft 8-K, Jul 29, 2026Official (company-reported) |
| 77% | Share of business uses of Anthropic’s first-party API that follow automation (delegation) patterns rather than augmentation, August 2025 data (about 50% for Claude.ai users) | Anthropic Economic Index, Sep 15, 2025Measured (platform usage data) |
| 39% | Share of Claude.ai conversations classed as “directive”, where the user delegates the whole task, in Anthropic’s September 2025 report (27% in late 2024) | Anthropic Economic Index, Sep 15, 2025Measured (platform usage data) |
| ~130 | Agentic AI vendors that Gartner estimates are “real”, out of the thousands marketing agentic products; Gartner calls the rebranding of assistants, RPA and chatbots “agent washing” | Gartner, Jun 25, 2025Estimate (research firm) |
Where the Productivity Story Breaks
The same research that shows gains also shows where they stop. In the BCG consultant experiment, AI users were 19% less likely to reach a correct answer on a task chosen to sit outside what the model could do well. METR’s developers were slower with AI and did not notice. METR’s late-2025 follow-up suggests that may have changed, but the institute calls its new data only very weak evidence because of selection effects: for example, 30% to 50% of developers chose not to submit some tasks they did not want to do without AI.
Agent reliability is the second limit. METR’s time-horizon measurements, which express task length as the time a human expert needs, show frontier models handling much longer tasks at 50% success than at 80%: 12 hours against 70 minutes for Claude Opus 4.6. In a simulated software company the best agent finished 30% of tasks on its own, and seven open-source multi-agent systems failed on 41% to 86.7% of tasks, each on a different benchmark. Trust follows: 46% of developers distrust the accuracy of AI tools. For why many pilots stall before production, see our analysis of the AI agent scaling gap.
| Figure | What it measures | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 19% less likely | Likelihood of a correct solution for BCG consultants using GPT-4 on a business task chosen to be outside the AI frontier, compared with consultants without AI, preregistered experiment with 758 participants | Dell’Acqua et al. (Harvard Business School), Sep 2023Randomized trial |
| −24% / −20% | Change in completion time that METR’s 16 trial developers expected from AI beforehand and estimated afterwards; measured completion time rose 19%, and economics and ML experts had predicted 39% and 38% shorter times | METR (arXiv), Jul 12, 2025Randomized trial |
| −18% | Estimated change in task time with AI for returning developers in METR’s late-2025 follow-up (confidence interval −38% to +9%; new recruits −4%, interval −15% to +9%); METR calls the data “only very weak evidence” because of selection effects | METR, Feb 24, 2026Randomized trial |
| 30%–50% | Share of developers in METR’s follow-up study who chose not to submit some tasks because they did not want to do them without AI, which biases the measured effect | METR, Feb 24, 2026Randomized trial |
| 12.0 h vs 70 min | Length of software tasks, measured by the time a human expert needs, that Claude Opus 4.6 completes with 50% versus 80% success, METR time-horizon measurements (95% interval for the 50% figure: 5.3 to 60.6 hours; GPT-5.4: 5.7 hours versus 54 minutes; Gemini 3.1 Pro: 6.4 hours versus 90 minutes) | METR, last updated Sep 8, 2026Benchmark (research evaluation) |
| ~129 days | Doubling time of frontier models’ 50%-success time horizon since 2023, METR (95% confidence interval 104 to 158 days); METR notes the horizon is closer to what a low-context new hire or contractor can do | METR, last updated Sep 8, 2026Benchmark (research evaluation) |
| 30% | Share of tasks in a simulated software company that the most competitive AI agent completed autonomously, TheAgentCompany benchmark | Xu et al. (arXiv), v3 Sep 10, 2025Benchmark (research evaluation) |
| 41%–86.7% | Failure rates of seven open-source multi-agent LLM systems, each measured on a different benchmark and so not directly comparable; the authors, who annotated 1,600+ execution traces, find gains on popular benchmarks are “often minimal” | Cemri et al. (arXiv), v3 Oct 26, 2025Benchmark (research evaluation) |
| 46% | Share of developers who distrust the accuracy of AI tools, against 33% who trust it, Stack Overflow 2025 Developer Survey (87% are concerned about the accuracy of AI agents) | Stack Overflow, 2025 survey, read Oct 21, 2026Survey (developers) |
| 30% | Share of technology professionals reporting little or no trust in AI-generated code, Google’s 2025 DORA report; AI adoption still has a negative relationship with software delivery stability | Google Cloud (DORA), Sep 23, 2025Survey (developers) |
| 7% | Share of organisations giving employees guidelines on how to use time saved by AI, Gartner survey of 114 HR leaders, July 2025 | Gartner, Oct 28, 2025Survey (executives) |
| 19% | Gap between employment of US workers aged 22 to 25 in AI-exposed occupations and where it would be had it kept pace with less-exposed peers, ADP payroll data through June 2026 (no comparable gap for experienced workers; no evidence of economy-wide displacement) | Stanford Digital Economy Lab, revised Aug 12, 2026Administrative data study |
| 2% | Share of US firms reporting AI-related employment decreases, Census Bureau survey, Nov 2025–Jan 2026 (66% of AI users rely on it solely to augment tasks) | US Census Bureau, Apr 15, 2026Official statistics |
The labour-market evidence is still early. The Census Bureau found AI-related employment decreases in only 2% of US firms, and Stanford’s Digital Economy Lab finds no evidence of widespread, economy-wide displacement, but employment of 22 to 25 year-olds in AI-exposed occupations is now 19% below where it would be had it kept pace with less-exposed peers. Saved time also has to be put to use: in Gartner’s survey of 114 HR leaders, only 7% of organisations gave employees guidelines on how to use the time AI frees up.
Outlook: Forecasts and Macro Estimates
Forecasts of AI’s economic effect differ by an order of magnitude, depending on how much of the work they assume AI can do and how fast companies adopt it. The Penn Wharton Budget Model projects AI raising the level of US productivity and GDP by 1.5% by 2035, with its largest annual boost to total factor productivity growth, 0.2 percentage points, in 2032. Daron Acemoglu’s task-based estimate is no more than 0.66% added to total factor productivity over ten years. Anthropic’s estimate is far higher at 1.8% a year of added labour productivity growth, but it extrapolates Claude’s own estimates of task-level time savings and assumes AI is adopted across the whole economy within ten years.
Research-firm forecasts for agents mostly concern adoption and failure rather than measured productivity. Gartner expects agentic AI to resolve 80% of common customer service issues by 2029, cutting operational costs by 30%, but also expects more than 40% of agentic AI projects to be canceled by the end of 2027 and 40% of enterprises to demote or decommission autonomous agents by 2027 because of governance gaps. Treat each as a forecast with a target year, and compare it with the measured figures above before planning around it. Our agentic AI statistics collection tracks adoption and spending forecasts in more detail.
| Figure | What it measures | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5% | Projected increase in the level of US productivity and GDP from generative AI by 2035 (nearly 3% by 2055 and 3.7% by 2075), Penn Wharton Budget Model | Penn Wharton Budget Model, Sep 8, 2025Estimate (research model) |
| 0.2 pp | Peak annual contribution of generative AI to US total factor productivity growth, projected for 2032 (0.01 percentage points in 2025), Penn Wharton Budget Model | Penn Wharton Budget Model, Sep 8, 2025Estimate (research model) |
| ≤0.66% | Upper estimate of the increase in US total factor productivity from AI over 10 years, task-based model (under 0.53% after adjusting for harder-to-learn tasks) | Acemoglu (NBER), May 2024Estimate (research model) |
| 1.8% a year | Increase in annual US labour productivity growth that current-generation AI models could deliver over the next decade if adopted across the whole economy within ten years, Anthropic’s extrapolation from Claude’s own estimates of task-level time savings in Claude.ai conversations | Anthropic, Nov 25, 2025Estimate (research model) |
| 80% | Share of common customer service issues Gartner predicts agentic AI will resolve without human intervention by 2029, with a 30% reduction in operational costs (forecast for 2029) | Gartner, Mar 5, 2025Forecast |
| Over 40% | Share of agentic AI projects Gartner predicts will be canceled by the end of 2027 because of escalating costs, unclear business value or inadequate risk controls (forecast for 2027) | Gartner, Jun 25, 2025Forecast |
| 40% | Share of enterprises Gartner predicts will demote or decommission autonomous AI agents by 2027 because of governance gaps found only after production incidents (forecast for 2027) | Gartner, May 26, 2026Forecast |
| 40% | Share of enterprise applications Gartner predicts will be integrated with task-specific AI agents by the end of 2026, up from less than 5% in 2025 (forecast for 2026; often misquoted as 80%) | Gartner, Aug 26, 2025Forecast |
| 15% | Share of day-to-day work decisions Gartner predicts will be made autonomously through agentic AI by 2028, up from 0% in 2024 (forecast for 2028) | Gartner, Jun 25, 2025Forecast |
| 17% → 29% | Share of total AI value that agents accounted for in 2025 and are expected to account for by 2028, BCG survey of 1,250 senior executives, 2025 | BCG, Sep 30, 2025Survey (executives) |
| ~40% | Share of all AI value that agents are expected to account for by 2030, BCG Applied AI Index survey of 1,330 executives, 2026 (42% of companies expect to grant agents genuine autonomy by 2030; 5% have the full set of controls today) | BCG, Sep 30, 2026Survey (executives) |
| 10%–15% | Workforce reduction companies in BCG’s 2026 survey of 1,330 executives expect by 2030 as AI scales | BCG, Sep 30, 2026Survey (executives) |
Figures to Check Before You Quote Them
Several AI agent productivity figures circulate with a named source that did not publish them. Each one below is compared with what the named publisher, or the closest primary source, actually says.
| Often quoted as | What the source says |
|---|---|
| AI agents save a median 6.4 hours per knowledge worker per week (McKinsey Global AI Survey 2026, Slack Workforce Index) | Neither publisher gives this figure. McKinsey’s 2026 survey reports 80% of respondents saying AI improved individual productivity, with no hours figure. The St. Louis Fed measured 5.4% of work hours saved by US users in November 2024 (2.2 hours of a 40-hour week) and 2.2% of all US work hours in Q2 2026. |
| 41% of agent deployments reach positive ROI within 12 months and 19% never pay back (Gartner Agentic AI Pulse 2026) | Gartner has published no such survey. Its agentic forecast is that over 40% of agentic AI projects will be canceled by the end of 2027. In Deloitte’s 2025 survey, 10% of agentic AI users report significant ROI and 6% of all respondents report payback on AI within a year. |
| Median AI agent payback is 6.7 months: 4.1 months in customer service, 9.3 in engineering, 5.1 months overall (Bain, BCG, Forrester) | No Bain, BCG or Forrester publication contains these medians. Most of the 1,854 executives in Europe and the Middle East in Deloitte’s 2025 survey said a typical AI use case takes two to four years to reach satisfactory ROI. |
| Vendor agents reach first value in 38 days against 94 days for custom builds (Deloitte State of Generative AI in the Enterprise, Q1 2026) | Deloitte’s 2026 survey of 3,235 leaders has no time-to-value data. It reports that 25% of respondents have moved 40% or more of their AI pilots into production. |
| An AI agent resolves a support ticket for $0.46 against $4.18 for a human | No published source gives this pair. Klarna’s Form 20-F reports its AI assistant handled 80% of customer service chats in 2025 and delivered $39 million of cost savings in 2024, while its customer service and operations costs rose 2% in 2025 as transactions grew 25%. |
| AI productivity multipliers: customer service 4.2x, code review 3.6x, legal 1.4x (BCG GenAI Productivity Index 2026) | BCG publishes no such index. Controlled studies measure 14% more support issues resolved per hour, 26.08% more completed developer tasks and 25.1% faster consulting work inside the AI frontier, with consultants 19% less likely to be correct outside it. |
| 80% of enterprise applications embed AI agents in 2026 (Gartner) | Gartner’s forecast is that 40% of enterprise applications will be integrated with task-specific AI agents by the end of 2026, up from less than 5% in 2025. It is a forecast, not a measurement. |
| GPT-5.4 leads computer use on OSWorld and costs $4 / $20 per million tokens; Claude Opus 4.7 scores 79.1% on MCP-Atlas | Anthropic’s Opus 4.7 launch table shows Opus 4.7 at 78.0% on OSWorld-Verified against 75.0% for GPT-5.4, and 77.3% on MCP-Atlas. OpenAI lists GPT-5.4 at $2.50 per million input tokens and $15 per million output tokens. |
| Klarna’s AI assistant does the work of 700 agents and saves $40 million a year | The $40 million was a February 2024 projection of profit improvement for that year. Klarna’s Form 20-F reports $39 million of cost savings delivered in 2024 and the work of more than 700 full-time agents, estimated from the fall in chat and phone conversations. |
Measure It Yourself Before You Scale
The evidence supports a narrower claim than most AI agent ROI statistics make. On well-defined tasks, AI tools raise output or cut time, often by double digits and most for less experienced staff. Across whole organisations and economies, the measured effect is still small, executives mostly report payback in years, and most CEOs say they cannot yet see the gain in revenue or costs. Agents add a reliability problem on top: the longer the task, the less often an agent completes it reliably.
That makes your own measurement more valuable than any benchmark. Set a baseline before rollout, keep a comparison group where you can, count review and correction time alongside time saved, and track cost and revenue effects rather than hours alone. When you quote a figure, keep its source, sample and date with it: “Deloitte’s 2025 survey of 1,854 executives” can be checked, while “agents pay back in 6.7 months” cannot. For help building that measurement into an agent programme, see our AI transformation services.
Sources
Every figure on this page was read at the publisher’s own page, paper, data release or filing on October 21, 2026. Each publication is listed once below, grouped by publisher type.
- National Bureau of Economic ResearchGenerative AI at Work (Working Paper 31161)Apr 2023, revised Nov 2023
- Microsoft ResearchThe Effects of Generative AI on High-Skilled Work: Evidence from Three Field Experiments with Software DevelopersJun 2025
- Harvard Business SchoolNavigating the Jagged Technological Frontier (Working Paper 24-013)Sep 2023
- ScienceExperimental evidence on the productivity effects of generative artificial intelligenceJul 13, 2023
- arXivThe Impact of AI on Developer Productivity: Evidence from GitHub Copilot (2302.06590)Feb 13, 2023
- arXivHow much does AI impact development speed? An enterprise-based randomized controlled trial (2410.12944)Oct 16, 2024
- National Bureau of Economic ResearchShifting Work Patterns with Generative AI (Working Paper 33795)May 2025, revised Nov 2025
- arXiv (METR)Measuring the Impact of Early-2025 AI on Experienced Open-Source Developer Productivity (2507.09089)Jul 12, 2025
- METRWe are Changing our Developer Productivity Experiment DesignFeb 24, 2026
- National Bureau of Economic ResearchStill Waters, Rapid Currents: Early Labor Market Transformation under Generative AI (Working Paper 33777)May 2025, revised Mar 2026
- Stanford Digital Economy LabCanaries in the Coal Mine? Six Facts about the Recent Employment Effects of Artificial Intelligencerevised Aug 12, 2026
- METRTask-Completion Time Horizons of Frontier AI Modelslast updated Sep 8, 2026
- arXivTheAgentCompany: Benchmarking LLM Agents on Consequential Real World Tasks (2412.14161)v3 Sep 10, 2025
- arXivWhy Do Multi-Agent LLM Systems Fail? (2503.13657)v3 Oct 26, 2025
- National Bureau of Economic ResearchThe Simple Macroeconomics of AI (Working Paper 32487)May 2024
- Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (On the Economy)The Impact of Generative AI on Work ProductivityFeb 27, 2025
- Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED Blog)Does generative AI save time at work?Aug 27, 2026
- U.S. Census BureauLarge Firms With at Least 20 Employees Biggest AI UsersMay 26, 2026
- U.S. Census BureauThe Microstructure of AI Diffusion: Evidence from Firms, Business Functions, and Worker Tasks (CES-WP-26-25)Apr 15, 2026
- OECDUnlocking productivity with generative AI: Evidence from experimental studiesJul 8, 2025
- Stanford HAIInside the AI Index: 12 Takeaways from the 2026 ReportApr 13, 2026
- Penn Wharton Budget ModelThe Projected Impact of Generative AI on Future Productivity GrowthSep 8, 2025
- McKinsey & CompanyThe state of AI in 2026: On the road to ROIAug 2026
- Boston Consulting GroupAI Leaders Outpace Laggards with Double the Revenue Growth and 40% More Cost SavingsSep 30, 2025
- Boston Consulting GroupAI Is Starting to Pay Off. Almost 50% of Companies Now Generate Value with It.Sep 30, 2026
- DeloitteFrom Ambition to Activation: Organizations Stand at the Untapped Edge of AI’s Potential, Reveals Deloitte SurveyJan 21, 2026
- DeloitteAI ROI: The paradox of rising investment and elusive returnsOct 22, 2025
- IBMIBM Study: CEOs Double Down on AI While Navigating Enterprise HurdlesMay 6, 2025
- PwCPwC’s 29th Global CEO SurveyJan 2026
- KPMGAI's Value Story Sharpens as Organizations Gain Confidence in Governance, Accountability and Workforce Adoption (AI Quarterly Pulse Survey, Q3 2026)Sep 24, 2026
- GallupRising AI Adoption Spurs Workforce ChangesApr 12, 2026
- GartnerGartner Predicts by 2027, 50% of Enterprises Without a People-Centric AI Strategy Will Lose Their Top AI TalentMay 13, 2026
- GartnerGartner Survey Shows 88% of HR Leaders Say Their Organizations Have Not Realized Significant Business Value from AI ToolsOct 28, 2025
- GartnerGartner HR Survey Reveals 45% of Managers Report AI Has Lived Up to Their Expectations in Improving Their Teams’ WorkMar 4, 2026
- GartnerGartner Says Autonomous Business and AI Layoffs May Create Budget Room, but Do Not Deliver ReturnsMay 5, 2026
- GartnerGartner Predicts Over 40% of Agentic AI Projects Will Be Canceled by End of 2027Jun 25, 2025
- GartnerGartner Predicts 40% of Enterprise Apps Will Feature Task-Specific AI Agents by 2026, Up from Less Than 5% in 2025Aug 26, 2025
- GartnerGartner Says Applying Uniform Governance Across AI Agents Will Lead to Enterprise AI Agent FailureMay 26, 2026
- GartnerGartner Predicts Agentic AI Will Autonomously Resolve 80% of Common Customer Service Issues Without Human Intervention by 2029Mar 5, 2025
- AnthropicEstimating AI productivity gains from Claude conversationsNov 25, 2025
- AnthropicAnthropic Economic Index report: Uneven geographic and enterprise AI adoptionSep 15, 2025
- OpenAIThe state of enterprise AI2025 report, read Oct 21, 2026
- AnthropicIntroducing Claude Opus 4.7Apr 16, 2026
- OpenAIGPT-5.4 model page (OpenAI API docs)read Oct 21, 2026
- Klarna Group plcForm 20-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025Feb 26, 2026
- KlarnaKlarna AI assistant handles two-thirds of customer service chats in its first monthFeb 27, 2024
- Salesforce, Inc.Salesforce Delivers Record Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2026 Results (Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1)Feb 25, 2026
- Salesforce, Inc.Salesforce Delivers Record First Quarter Fiscal 2027 Results (Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1)May 27, 2026
- Salesforce, Inc.Salesforce Delivers Record Second Quarter Fiscal 2027 Results (Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1)Aug 26, 2026
- Microsoft CorporationMicrosoft Cloud and AI Strength Fuels Fourth Quarter Results (Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1)Jul 29, 2026
- Stack Overflow2025 Stack Overflow Developer Survey: AI2025 survey, read Oct 21, 2026
- Google CloudAnnouncing the 2025 DORA ReportSep 23, 2025
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